“How many infected per day until the end of April” – Libero Quotidiano

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Coronavirus infections and deaths are decreasing, but not as expected. The descent of the curve has just begun and we are still traveling at the fast pace of about 4,000 new positive cases per day. A fact that makes you think of a return to normality still a long way off. As he explains Daily fact easing the lockdown now would not only nullify the efforts made so far, but would cause a real health disaster. According to the analysis conducted by the astrophysicist Fabrizio Nicastro of the INAF (National Institute of Astrophysics), the number of new infections will progressively drop to around 500 new positive daily cases around April 22, then drop to around 100 from April 30 onwards. In conclusion, not before the end of May we will be able to see the light at the end of the tunnel and start the much controversial “Phase 2”.



The example is there for all to see: Wuhan. Here the reopening will take place shortly, after three months from the announcement of the epidemic and four from the first infections. A well-considered choice even if the infections had already fallen in March. Everything, therefore, foreshadows that our country will have to follow the Chinese trail in one way or another in order to return to everyday life.



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