Expect more inflation in Turkey with an "inevitable" reduction of interest rates

. Economists expected official data this week to show Turkey's inflation rate rose by 20.4 percent from April, amid a year-long ...


Written ByOumayma Omar

    Oumayma Omar, based in Baghdad, is a contributor to the Culture and Society sections of The News1 En.
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    Expectations of more inflation in Turkey with an inflationary erosion of interest rates

    Economists expected official data this week to show Turkey's inflation rate rose by 20.4 percent from April, amid a year-long expectation that the central bank will reverse its monetary policy to tackle the country's financial crisis.

    According to a Bloomberg poll, experts forecast that consumer prices in Turkey will rise at a faster pace for the second consecutive month.
    Against these expectations, the issue of cuts in interest rates in the country is inevitable despite the warning of Central Bank Governor Murad Seitenkaya of the possibility of applying more monetary tightening. He said: "The rise in inflation may be applied to further tighten interest rates to improve Economic landscape ".

    "There is a chance for a sudden rise in inflation in April driven by rising food prices, which could delay the issue of interest rate cuts," Bloomberg quoted Deutsche Bank economist Kublai Oztürk as saying. "Rapid inflation can negatively affect pricing behavior and shape consumer expectations."

    The Turkish lira last month recorded the worst performance in the world's currencies, losing more than 6.6 percent of its value against the US dollar.
    Despite this negative performance, the central bank kept its inflation forecast unchanged for this year and next year, at 14.6 and 8.2 percent, respectively.

    One of the obstacles to the decline in inflation in Turkey, according to economists, the government failed to control food prices and control despite the many threats and fines applied to violators, as the prices of these materials in the first quarter of this year to about 30 percent, Almost double the estimates of the central bank.

    A report published by the Turkish newspaper Zaman on Thursday revealed the decline in Turkish asset markets last year to a low level, making Turkey the second-largest in the world after Venezuela in the world's most populous country.

    According to a study by the International Center for International Wealth Migration, Turkish asset markets fell last year to record levels of 23 percent.

    Of the 90 countries, Turkey ranked second in the world's richest countries after Venezuela, which recorded an annual decline of 25 percent, with Caracas, which pushed 2.5 million of its citizens to leave, the list of the world's worst economies with inflation rates of about one million percent.

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