What should happen now for the law to prevent Netanyahu from forming a government?

The announcement at noon by Israeli House Speaker Avigdor Lieberman to support Netanyahu Law,
“On Paper” provides a majority of the 62nd Knesset members for the move. The promotion of the bill, which is intended to prevent those who have been indicted for an offense with disgrace (such as bribery and fraud and breach of trust) – will wait until the swearing-in of the March 23 Knesset.

Today, 11 days before the next Knesset is established, private bills cannot be raised.

After March 16, 2020, it will be necessary not only for the introduction of the private bill on the Knesset table, but also for the establishment of the regulating committee to discuss this bill.

The moves to advance this bill, despite the expected majority, are not straightforward. First, Lieberman is demanding a law to limit the prime minister’s term to two terms.

On the other hand, the joint list calls for enacting the Kaminitz Law Cancellation Law, which has aggravated the punishment of construction offenders in the Arab and agricultural sectors.

Based on Lieberman’s stipulations and the Arab list, it is only after the enactment of these two laws that the “Netanyahu Law” can be enacted. In any case, the law is intended to take effect in the next Knesset, preventing Netanyahu from announcing new elections if he is unable to form a government now.

If all of this happens: the passage of the Netanyahu bill will depend on the issue of who will be the Speaker of the Knesset and who will be the Chairman of the Regulatory Committee.

If Gantz receives the government-mandated mandate from President Reuben Rivlin within two weeks Then a majority will be required to replace MK Yuli Edelstein (Likud). For this, a normal majority is needed, but without Lieberman, who recently opposed the rejection of Edelstein, the left-center Arab camp has only 55 Knesset members against 58 to the right, headed by Netanyahu. If Lieberman refuses to support Edelstein’s impeachment, it will not be possible to replace him, and it will not be possible to run the law because Edelstein will not allow the law to be put on the agenda of the Knesset plenum.

If President Rivlin imposes the mandate on Netanyahu Then the chairman of the regulating committee to discuss the law will be Likud MK Micki Zohar, who will not allow the bill to be brought up for discussion.

Therefore, in order for the law to be promoted, white and blue must receive the first mandate or hope that Netanyahu will not be able to form a government (if he gets the mandate earlier), and raise a majority in favor of replacing Edelstein.

Still: Even if all this happens in the Blue and White Party, fear the following. Since the law is only to come into effect after the next elections (maybe a fourth election will be held in September?), Then if the legislature and Netanyahu cannot be prime minister, Lieberman will be able to join a government led by another Likud representative.

On the other hand, the legislation is a threat to Netanyahu who will agree to join a government-led Gantz unity government, with a rotation that he will enter in two years in accordance with developments in his trial.