Dropped by 64,000 votes and prevented a mandate from the right: the fall of “Jewish power”

Ben Gvir’s latest statement: “Not retiring” (Photo: Alex Gamburg)

Despite the insistence to deal until the last moment, a Jewish power party
Itamar Ben Gvir received only 19,350 votes and was far from the blocking rate, which stood at 149,004 votes. This is a sharp drop from the result he received in the September elections – 83,609 votes, which constituted 1.88% of the electorate. In the last election, Ben Gvir won just 0.42% of the total vote.

Itamar Ben Gvir(Photo: Avi Moalem)

The overall turnout in the election was 71.47%, with a total of 4,584,719 qualified votes. 37,001 voters gave their votes to lists that did not pass the block, with more than half of them on Ben Gvir’s list. In the end, the total number of eligible votes in the mandate distribution lists was 4,547,718, so the mandate for the mandate stands at 37,897.

If he chose to quit the election, and at least half of the votes he received could be left and right together – the Likud would win 37 seats and white blue would lose a mandate and drop to 32, which would still leave the right bloc on 59 seats.

117 seats were distributed even before calculating the surplus agreements and the Bader-Ofer agreement, which gives an advantage to larger parties in the distribution of surplus votes. The Likud, which signed a surplus agreement with the right, received the largest surplus in the calculation – which is why the party received its 36th mandate.

The campaign of Jewish power

The 119th mandate was given to Israel Betano, which did not have a surplus agreement, but it was very close to its seventh mandate – and therefore also accepted it. The 120th mandate was eventually given to blue and white, which had a surplus agreement with the Labor-Bridge-Meretz that won it the 33rd mandate.

If Ben Gvir had quit the elections and the Likud and right would have received at least 7,611 votes or more – the Likud would have won 37 seats and white blue would have dropped to 32 seats. Even in the case where Shas and Torah Judaism would win at least 5,200 votes together from the votes given to Jewish power – they would have preferred blue and white in receiving the 120th mandate, and in that case the right-wing bloc would be strengthened to 59 seats.

It should be noted that in no case of the Likud and Shas scenarios could they receive another mandate at the expense of Israel our home and blue and white, since in this case more than 20,000 votes are required, ie more votes than Ben Gvir’s party received.