Dozens of polls have been published since the election began. Everyone is boring, with no change. The fresh survey conducted by Mano Geva specifically for N12, just a week before the polls were opened, is the first to predict a significant change. After 75 days of stagnation, and for the first time, the Likud is moving to a transport position. A delay of two mandates became a mandate advantage within four days. Gantz lost one right-wing mandate to Likud, another Labor-Meretz bridge. As a result, the right-wing bloc also strengthens the mandate, to 57, still far from the magic number: 61.
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But Gantz went even further. After his hopes of a block of center-left Arabs against Netanyahu were disappointed, he moved this week to use the phrase “something Jewish”. This majority, too, seems farther away than ever: Even if Ganz and Peretz Lieberman are joined, only 50 Knesset members are available, seven less than Netanyahu’s strengthened bloc. To form a government, according to this survey, would need the support of most of the common list and the avoidance of the rest.
And these are the full results of the survey:
Likud: 34 (compared to 33 in previous survey)
Blue and white: 33 (compared with 35 in the previous survey)
Shared list: 13 (same as previous survey)
The Work-Bridge-Meretz: 10 ((compared with 9 in the previous survey)
SHAS: 8 (same as previous survey)
Torah Jewry: 8 (same as previous survey)
J.Our Home: 7 (same as previous survey)
right: 7 (same as previous survey)
Jewish power: 1.5% (not passed)
In terms of the block map, according to survey data, Netanyahu is still unable to reach the 61 mandates he needed to form a government, while at the same time Gantz is still not close to obtaining the required number.
The right-wing Haredi bloc: 57
Left center: 43
Shared list: 13
Israel is our Home: 7
One of the important figures in the latest election campaign is the degree of fit for prime minister. In recent days, we can see a significant strengthening of Netanyahu against Gantz in this index.
Netanyahu: 43%
Gantz: 33%
None of them: 18%
Do not know: 6%
Survey Client: News Company
Survey Editor: A consulting and research sample led by Mano Geva
Date of data collection: 23.2.2020
Study population: A representative sample of the total population of Israel aged 18 and over
Actual Respondents: 501
Number of applicants to attend: 3,455
Maximum sampling error: 4.4% +
Statistical method: The survey was carried out using standard statistical methods
Sampling method: Sampling of layers and within the random sampling layers
How to conduct the survey: Internet + telephone
Source link
https://www.mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2020/Article-4cb6d4000237071027.htm
