Second attack on Turkish soldiers in Idlib revealed that a new period has been entered

Naim Babüroğlu (Retired Brigadier): Idlib is now a bomb ready to explode. There are also provocative actors here. The United States supports the Al Qaeda terrorist organizations, which we call HTŞ there. The meaning of Jeffrey’s statement that “The HTŞ terrorist organization may not be counted as it defends itself against the regime” means that the USA can remove the HTŞ from the terrorist list so that it can help clearly. Second issue: Idlib is 5% of Syria, but it is a very active, tactical geography. The TSK shipped there intensely. Where our hero 5 martyrs were given, the TSK created a base. It was targeted there. This means that Russia supports Syria throughout this operation. From the meeting of the Russian delegation in Ankara, we understand that the result was not achieved. Russia, Sochi from Turkey Mutabakatı’yl wants two important things: to distinguish it from other opponents of radical terrorist elements and M-4 and M-5 highway to be cleared of this terrorist organization, it is secured. The withdrawal of heavy weapons from Idlib, which was determined as a conflict zone … These did not happen. Ranks Turkey’s observation points there. We have military presence at 15-16 points.

My basic assessment is that Russia is saving time. The Syrian Army will gain this time until it fully controls the south and east of the M-4 and M-5 highway. Turkey’s hand will be weakened as follows: “The purpose of the M-4 and M-5 highway left the east of the lookout point” will be called. Their road to the west and north, ie it will be asked to be moved to the border with Turkey. This means narrowing the field to Turkey. Turkey saw the game and was increasing its military presence there. However, the important point is in the hands of Russia. This is a disadvantage for Turkey. The latest development does not destroy the negotiating table with Russia, but the Sochi consensus is now dead. Its purpose has disappeared. A new situation has emerged in Idlib. Turkey should make a new assessment of the situation. Observation points may continue to exist, but we must sit on the table with Russia and come up with a new Sochi Accord.

OBSERVATION POINTS CAN BE MOVED

Ahmet Yavuz (Retired Major General): I would like to express my sadness for two reasons. The first is losses, and the second is that it is possible to find a middle way in Idlib, as I have seen how it has harmed the country to pursue the same policy with persistence. We committed to opening M-4 and M-5 highways in early 2019, not opened. The developments that caught my attention and led us to martyrdom were presented as a reaction against the dispatch of soldiers outside the observation points. Of course, this is a joint reaction of Russia and Syria. I’ve been telling you from the start. Let’s take the location of the observation points near our own border to open the M-4 and M-5 highways, and let’s protect the places we take to the end. If only the observation points could be relocated and a compromise area could be created. Because they do not target observation points. It is not possible to defend neither the reaction nor the steps taken until it came here. After that, there are three modes of action: either there is a compromise, it walks healthier. Or, Syria and Turkey enters a higher dosage Although we have no desire not to conflict. Or back and forth such a back and forth is left to continue, the problem is not solved. Another aspect of the work is also important. After this hour, this place is more open to any kind of provocation. US wants very clearly in conflict with Russia and to break the link between Turkey and Syria. This is a very clear situation. Is Turkey falls into this trap, I do not know. The darkest scenario, Turkey is Syria’s conflict with Russia so that it has a chance, albeit weak.

TAILS HIT THE TARGETS IN THE RANGE

Erol Burali (National Security and Foreign Policy in the 21st Century Turkey Institute President of the Center):

Turkey’s military shipments reason for doing so; It was to prevent the regime from entering the city center. Approximately 1 million people came to the limit. However, there are 2 million more in Idlib city center. This means more people can come. Turkey’s first objective was to avoid it.

In Idlib, what happens today becomes worse, and nobody leaves the blood of this country’s children on the ground. But the negotiating table is not destroyed. As for the question of what happens next: There’s a lot of heap up there. The armed forces then proceed at possible critical points. One of them becomes Serakib. TSK hits all targets within range. The regime should not have done this.