According to observers, it will be necessary to keep an eye on how many seats the Conservatives will win: if more than 326 will be obtained – half plus one of the seats in the Chamber – they will not need to ally themselves with other parties, which would in fact allow Johnson to quickly obtain final approval of the new agreement on Brexit by the new Parliament.
The British electoral law provides for a majority system: it means that the party that gets even one more vote in a certain college gets the chance to express the only seat up for grabs. As usual, it is expected that several colleges will be awarded for a few tens or hundreds of votes: it means that it will take several hours before reliable results are obtained. Below you will find a counting updated in real time on the seats in the Chamber, and the liveblog where you can find all the news and updates as they arrive.
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22.29 – What time do the results arrive?
It really depends on which direction the evening will take. At 23 pm Italian exit polls will be released – they will be the same for all TV and newspapers – while around midnight the results of historically fastest-moving cities such as Southampton and Newcastle will arrive, participating in a small tender for whom the counting ends first (according to Times of London the absolute record belongs to Southampton, which once took only 49 minutes to count all the cards).
Apart from the very fast colleges and those where the parties are already sure of winning, the most interesting results will arrive during the night. Around 2 o'clock the results should arrive from Workington, Darlington and Wigan, three colleges in which in 2017 the Laborists won but who voted convinced to leave the EU in the referendum on Brexit. "If they are won by the Conservatives," writes the Guardian, "Could mean that the party will obtain a self-sufficient majority", ie more than 326 seats. In the next hour the results should arrive in other potentially indicative colleges like Putney – which could pass from the Conservatives to Labor – or Hartlepool, where the Brexit Party seems to be ahead. If they all go in the same direction, around 3 we could have much clearer ideas. In short, prepare the coffee.
22.25 – According to the main polls in recent days, tonight's elections will have no history: the Conservatives are ahead and with 43 percent of the votes they have a ten point advantage over Labor, standing at around 33 percent (here you can find the aggregate polls of BBC, of the Financial Times and of Politic). The Lib Dems are around 13 percent and the other parties, the Scottish SNP, the Brexit Party and the Greens are all around 4 percent. In theory, with these numbers the Conservatives should obtain an absolute majority of seats, but due to the particular British electoral system (here is a super synthetic explanation) small shifts in votes could change the final result a lot. In the last elections, Labor for example won a seat for twenty votes.
The last year in UK politics in one chart.
How has public support for different parties 12 months according to our POLITICAL Poll of Polls? Visit https://t.co/lip47FUoYO to find out more.# GeneralElection2019 # GE2019 pic.twitter.com/zr6dvoZjiX
– POLITICO Poll of Polls (@pollofpolls_EU) December 12, 2019
22.20 – Good evening and welcome to the Post's liveblog on the British elections. If you feel you are missing a few pieces, you still have half an hour to read our election guide published a few days ago or the version for those in a hurry.
Source link
https://www.ilpost.it/2019/12/12/elezioni-regno-unito-risultati/
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